Revised: December 2018
By Sarah Owens and Michael Livingston
[Originally posted under the title, "The Numbers Game."]
2015 PIT Count - Total - Sheltered - Unsheltered |
2015 PIT Count - Sheltered Households |
Point-in-time counting is widely acknowledged as the best way to establish valid trend data (also see here), which is important because, above all, what communities need to know is whether the problem is shrinking or growing. For instance, in the 2015 PITC, 774 people in Marion and Polk Counties were counted as experiencing homelessness. In 2016, that number grew to 857. Put another way, in the 2015 PITC, we were sheltering 41 homeless families, and in 2016, we were sheltering 48, so we know the trend is upward.
2016 PIT Count for ROCC Region 7 (Marion & Polk Counties) - Households with Children |
Are there, in fact, only 48 families experiencing homelessness in our community at any given time? No. Of course not. That's a number that's impossible to determine. So, we need just to acknowledge it, and move on, taking care to speak and write in terms of counts and trends, and not literally "how many."
2016 PIT Count for ROCC Region 7 - Households without Children |
Doing that will allow us to move to the more important question, which is, how are we as a community responding? Well, that's a complex question, but one piece of the answer lies in the data. We know that in 2015 we counted two families with children as not sheltered, in 2016, we counted only one. That would seem to suggest we are doing okay by families. In 2015, we counted 192 unsheltered persons, and in 2016, we counted 215, mostly older adults. An upward trend, but well within the range "normal" for this community, its policies and programs, which mostly do not subscribe to the Housing First approach.
2016 PIT Count for ROCC Region 7 - Households with only Children |
Which raises another question for the Task Force: do we, as a community, find it acceptable to have 200-600 of our neighbors unsheltered at any given time? So far, we have. But someone on the Task Force needs to be asking what would it take to reduce that number further and whether we, as a community, are willing to undertake those measures. Someone needs to ask, what about 600 to 1,800 cycling through homelessness in our emergency shelters and transitional housing programs? Are those programs as effective as they could be? If not, what should they be doing? Should we focus our resources on successful programs, or, as we have been, share resources fairly evenly across all programs, regardless of results, which we don't even measure? These are crucial questions for the Task Force, questions which have not yet been raised, and it remains to see if they will be.
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